Turmoil in Sudan: A Complex Web of Conflict
The intricate Sudanese conflict has taken another dangerous turn, as international sanctions aim to tackle the underlying war crimes and humanitarian crisis. Yet, who holds the key to peace?
Published January 18, 2025 - 00:01am
Sudan, a nation beset by chaos and conflict, has once again found itself at the center of international attention following a series of significant developments. The enduring war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) led by army chief Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) under Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti, has exacerbated into one of the world's direst humanitarian crises. Since its onset in April 2023, the conflict has unleashed a wave of violence characterized by gross human rights violations, pushing over 12 million civilians into displacement and starvation.
The United States has stepped up its involvement by imposing sanctions on key players in the conflict. On January 16, the US Treasury Department blacklisted army chief Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, having already targeted RSF leader Dagalo on similar grounds the previous week. Both leaders are accused of perpetrating atrocities, with the RSF facing allegations of genocide against ethnically African populations in Darfur. US sanctions point to a troubling array of offenses, including attacks on civilians and infrastructure, such as hospitals and schools, and using food deprivation as a weapon of war.
These actions underscore Washington's firm belief that neither Al-Burhan nor Dagalo is fit to govern a peaceful future Sudan. This stance is further echoed by outgoing Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who has openly shared his regret for the US administration's inability to broker peace. Despite diplomatic efforts in conjunction with Saudi Arabia, initiatives aimed at facilitating humanitarian aid and integrating armed groups into a unified national force have largely faltered.
The international community remains deeply divided over the Sudanese crisis, with the United Nations documenting potential war crimes. The US's previous reluctance to sanction the involved military leaders, due to diplomatic concerns, now shifts towards more assertive measures as domestic politics change hands with President-elect Donald Trump taking office. However, the effectiveness of these sanctions in precipitating a resolution remains questionable amidst Sudan's evolving geopolitical landscape.
Amid this tumult, Türkiye has positioned itself as a mediator offering a slender ray of hope. Utilizing longstanding historical and diplomatic ties with Sudan, Türkiye has pledged to lead mediation efforts, channeling its past successes in Ethiopia and Somalia into the Sudanese context. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has signaled Türkiye's willingness to facilitate dialogue, emphasizing peace and stability as core objectives.
Türkiye's involvement comes as the Sudanese conflict sees power shifts on the ground. The SAF has made tactical gains, reclaiming key territories such as Wad Madani from the RSF. These advancements underscore the continuing contest between the SAF and RSF over strategic areas within Sudan, including crucial agricultural hubs.
The ongoing war has drawn the attention of various foreign actors, particularly the United Arab Emirates, which has faced allegations of supplying arms to the RSF. Meanwhile, South Africa's reception of RSF leader Dagalo has drawn critical examination from the US, unveiling the complexities of African regional dynamics.
As international powers grapple with diminishing influence and strategic tools, the Sudanese civilian population continues to bear the brunt of the crisis. The future of Sudan hinges on both internal and external diplomatic maneuvers, potentially led by Türkiye's interventionist role. With strategic diplomacy and concrete actions, the international community's ability to alleviate humanitarian devastation and guide Sudan towards peace and reconstruction hangs in the balance.